Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 1062.986020 1217.330495 1393.589243 1611.363648 1875.404184 2188.019925 2590.428933
2025-01-05 816.196958 1003.343081 1238.307313 1560.725870 2000.992043 2595.622482 3485.857926
2025-01-12 690.452932 884.322119 1141.728936 1518.407463 2073.376396 2892.087751 4256.524938
2025-01-19 599.231303 792.021284 1059.359222 1471.144472 2116.874411 3143.657812 5025.826544
2025-01-26 561.783103 765.649832 1060.714518 1539.315086 2339.890836 3719.262652 6531.814874
2025-02-02 524.688098 733.667730 1047.275516 1579.156951 2521.216185 4267.940139 8211.299499
2025-02-09 492.556609 704.445112 1032.792935 1612.591122 2695.310249 4848.288602 10227.448863
2025-02-16 457.084104 665.776179 997.770338 1603.979037 2787.944602 5290.175054 12144.731502
2025-02-23 436.830063 648.732873 995.420984 1651.888386 2999.231792 6050.954487 15375.305067
2025-03-02 417.091474 630.300202 988.087730 1688.568779 3194.666940 6841.450201 19282.696047
2025-03-09 393.596572 603.301263 962.612800 1685.880211 3303.400913 7453.800939 23104.310981
2025-03-16 368.842975 572.006980 926.162984 1655.808932 3343.084035 7896.164260 26692.482848
2025-03-23 352.580567 555.335806 917.003855 1685.876276 3547.387172 8939.784055 34383.162867
2025-03-30 326.856722 520.134342 870.216924 1630.349749 3529.420088 9311.144978 39411.995400
2025-04-06 305.315445 490.622746 831.212598 1585.938460 3530.181092 9750.009900 45615.350034
2025-04-13 285.281883 462.363259 792.041279 1535.874109 3505.421385 10098.003968 51999.857007
2025-04-20 280.067406 460.857102 805.252189 1608.003025 3843.467678 11992.832961 74941.218316
2025-04-27 272.080932 453.465944 805.766725 1650.171898 4107.519657 13783.701228 104231.969913
2025-05-04 264.000343 445.229036 803.644951 1685.576101 4362.841868 15740.650840 146248.149634
2025-05-11 252.657128 429.849409 785.032244 1676.455389 4471.271019 17082.255233 189167.164419
2025-05-18 247.051286 425.290268 789.124014 1727.204093 4802.734272 19919.631422 290390.902219
2025-05-25 240.803467 418.978188 788.747568 1766.075562 5107.301192 22950.482539 451269.318005
2025-06-01 231.911506 406.724659 774.036322 1763.225893 5255.347230 25168.099163 644384.831697